How we know that this NCAA tournament isn’t like any other NCAA tournament: According to Las Vegas oddsmakers, the second- and third-favorite teams are Michigan State and Louisville, who aren’t No. 1 seeds. Or No. 2, or even No. 3. They’re No. 4 seeds.
In the 35 seeded NCAA tournaments, 14 of a possible 140 No. 4 seeds have reached the Final Four. Of those, only Arizona — in 1997, when the Wildcats beat three No. 1 seeds — won the title. Since Arizona’s feat, just one No. 4 (Michigan last year) has reached the championship game.