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American Idol Blog
12/28: My 2007 Idol predictions in retrospect
By: Rodney Ho | December 28, 2007, 11:16AM EST

On January 1, 2007, I made five not-so-bold predictions about “Idol.” Let’s see how I did.

1 - After five consecutive seasons in which the show’s popularity increased, this will be the season folks will start complaining that it has jumped the shark and ratings fall a modest 5 percent. That’s not enough for Fox to panic but other networks gleefully chuckle to themselves that Fox’s savior may have seen its best days in the rear-view mirror.

Wow. I hit the mark perfectly on this one. Although the results show was up slightly, the performance show dropped about 5 percent while 18-49 numbers dropped even further.

2 - Simon gets nastier. Is it possible? Of course! He’s now insanely rich and working on so many other shows that his occasional irascible boredom escalates.

Hmmm… I can’t say if this one worked out. I didn’t sense Simon was any meaner than usual.

3 - The mid-season “surprise” one of the exec producers recently promised will be separating the remaining contestants by race. Oh, wait. “Survivor” did that already, didn’t they? Hmm… how could they possibly surprise us? Make us vote off two contestants in one week? Nahh… Fox isn’t going to waste a week like that. Have us vote for who we want OFF the show for one week, just to see what happens? Nope. I don’t see that one. An all-opera episode? Not a chance. Beautiful women enter the stage with numbered suitcases. Contestants pick a number and must sing the song that shows up in the case. That’d be a fine, desperate move. Bringing back already eliminated contestants to heckle the existing ones while they sing? Funny but not gonna happen. Actually, maybe they’ll give folks who were voted off a chance to get back on the show? That’s one “Survivor” did, too. Feel free to throw in your own suggestions.

This one was me kind of BSing off the top of my head, mostly facetiously. Actually, “Idol” did eliminate two in one week because of “Idol Gives Back,” the closest thing to a “surprise.”

4 - Corey Clark was booted in season two and Mario Vazquez quit before season four’s final 12 started. This year, somebody voluntarily quits mid-way through for some salacious reason.

Nope. Wrong. We only prayed that Sanjaya would voluntarily leave but nothing salacious happened here. And somehow, Antonella Barba almost made it to the final 12 despite modest vocal talent and those fun wet T-shirt photos will always be available on the Web!

5 - For the first time, the winner won’t be from the South or Oklahoma. The West Coast finally gets some love after Kat almost made it in 2006.

Okay. I should get partial credit for this one since Jordin is from Glendale, Ariz. That’s not quite the West Coast, but it’s the West.

On Tuesday, I will post five more predictions for 2008.

Oh, and only about 2 million people watched the finale of “Next Great American Band” last Friday. Not a shocker there and pretty much means a zero percent chance you’ll ever see that show again.

(8) Comments
Posted by: shay on December 28, 2007 12:06PM EST
I guess I get a cookie!

Thanks for everyone's prayers. They really paid off. The Sis is doing better but still has a long way to go for a full recovery. We suspect she will be out of pocket about 8-12 weeks. We are just taking every day one step at a time.

Posted by: War Eagle on December 28, 2007 12:08PM EST
Good news Shay. I hope everything continues to go in the right direction.

Posted by: linnykat on December 28, 2007 12:20PM EST
thanks for the update, shay... glad it's good news, and the prayers won't stop from our house any time soon! convalescence takes a lot of patience and endurance too!

Thanks, Rodney, for your recap, lol. that was fun. I know NGAB wasn't the hit it should have been, but can't they try it in a different time slot and see what happens? friday 8-9-10 is not exactly a primetime slot for ANYthing!!!

and if they can't do that, how about taking some hints from the TYPE of competition it was and incorporate some original music (NOT chosen by AI producers, please!) and some vote-count-cap per person or something....geez...

i just hope we do NOT have to endure the stupidity and wastefulness of another Sanjaya-type. It's not fair to serious competitors!!! *I* can just turn it off... the true contestants still have to compete against the Turkey-of-the-Year AND VFTW.com!!!


Posted by: Deirdre on December 28, 2007 7:46PM EST
shay..happy to hear that your sis is still doing ok. She has a long road in front of her but will be up and running again!

Rodney...lol!!! Loved the commentary on your predictions and am looking forward to the Season 7 Swami Report! :-)

I saw Sweeney Todd today. Wonderful, gruesome, depressing, beautifully filmed and magnificently acted. Johnny Depp is terrific....but the film is not for everyone, especially kids, or for those who don't like musicals.

Posted by: Gah on December 29, 2007 10:40PM EST
I'm through with A.I. It's boring, the comments don't vary, and the singers are getting worse and worse. Sometimes I think they pick some of the worst just for those wondering whispers. I'd rather watch re-runs of I Love Lucy.

Posted by: Gah on December 29, 2007 10:42PM EST
P.S. Just look at Sanjaya. How the HELL did he get past the judges the first time, much less make it to the top 10??? Sick, sick, sick. Where's the remote?

Posted by: Gah on December 29, 2007 10:44PM EST
P.S.S.: What's with all these "salacious" comments? Find a new word. Your wore it out just in this article. Jeeze.

Posted by: Rodney Ho on December 29, 2007 11:04PM EST
I was commenting on my year-ago predictions (in bold) and used that word "salacious" in early 2007 so I simply repeated it for effect.

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