Channel 2 poll: Bottoms edges ahead of Norwood in Atlanta mayor race


Keisha Lance Bottoms pulled ahead of Mary Norwood in a Channel 2 Action News poll of the Atlanta mayor’s race released Friday that pegged the two councilwomen to double-digit leads over their nearest other competitor.

The Landmark Communications poll had Bottoms leading Norwood 25.4 percent to 23.4 percent, a two-point gap that’s within the poll’s margin of error. Former Atlanta Chief Operating Officer Peter Aman, at 12 percent, was the only other candidate in double digits.

Former City Council President Cathy Woolard was in fourth place with 9.2 percent, followed by ex-state Sen. Vincent Fort at 7.9 percent and Council President Ceasar Mitchell at 6.8 percent.

Councilman Kwanza Hall polled at 5.2 percent, and former Fulton County Commission Chairman John Eaves was at 2.6 percent. About 6 percent remained undecided.

The poll was released as candidates competing to succeed Mayor Kasim Reed make their final push before Tuesday’s vote. The election will almost certainly result in a December runoff since none of the eight major candidates in the wide-open field are expected to get a majority of the vote.

Norwood led every public poll until this one, though earlier surveys showed her plummeting from roughly 30 percent to the low 20s. Her numbers have eroded as she’s faced attacks from opponents — the mayor, rival candidates, state Democrats — labeling her a closet Republican.

Norwood, a self-described independent who would be Atlanta’s first white mayor in 44 years, still leads the field among men, older voters, white voters and Republicans. But her struggles with black voters and Democrats have grown more pronounced.

Polls once showed about one-fifth of the black electorate supported her; Friday’s results pegged her at roughly 13 percent among African-American voters. At the same time, she’s faced increased competition for white voters from Aman and Woolard.

In a crowded field of five leading black candidates, Bottoms has capitalized the most on Norwood’s fall. Buoyed by Reed’s endorsement and a surge in fundraising, the councilwoman has a wide advantage — at 45 percent — among African-American voters. She’s also leading among women, Democrats and voters under 50.

Aman’s campaign hinges on eating more of Norwood’s base in majority-white neighborhoods, but the poll shows he has his work cut out for him. He’s second among white voters, with 20 percent, but he’ll need more than that to make up for his struggles with black voters: He’s tallied just 3 percent of the black vote.

Several others have hardly budged since the last Channel 2 poll, which was conducted in early October and showed a jumble of candidates around 6 percent. But many reported saving six-figure troves of cash for the final days — and carefully honed plans to drive their most committed voters to the polls.

The poll of 750 likely voters was conducted on Wednesday and it has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

Check out the crosstabs here.


Reader Comments ...

Next Up in Georgia Politics

Democrats aim for suburbs in Alabama ahead of Deep South votes
Democrats aim for suburbs in Alabama ahead of Deep South votes

Amanda Wilson has watched with a mix of glee and uncertainty as the imposing homes along this wealthy suburban town’s zigzagging streets has suddenly sprouted Democratic signs. “I’m a blue dot in a big red state,” said Wilson, a 64-year-old retiree. “But I don’t feel as lonely anymore.” Republican U.S. Senate...
Georgia Senate meetings will be live-streamed after Thanksgiving
Georgia Senate meetings will be live-streamed after Thanksgiving

Beginning the Monday after the Thanksgiving holiday, Georgians who are interested in watching state senators at work can live-stream committee meetings being held in the statehouse. Members of the Georgia Senate on Friday held a mock committee meeting led by Senate President Pro Tem David Shafer, R-Duluth, to test out the new wiring and equipment....
Atlanta mayor under fire amid debate over illegal immigration
Atlanta mayor under fire amid debate over illegal immigration

Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed is drawing fire from multiple sides in the hot-button debate over illegal immigration after recently announcing the city had joined a nationwide effort in finding legal help for immigrants facing deportation. When Reed announced the city’s new policy this month, he called Atlanta a “welcoming city that stands up...
The Right points to Franken as a symptom of the Left’s hypocrisy
The Right points to Franken as a symptom of the Left’s hypocrisy

The Right has always questioned Franken’s qualifications for the Senate. The revelations of sexual misconduct by the Minnesota  Democrat have added fuel to the fire. A roundup of editorials Friday takes a look at the issue. From The Boston Herald: It’s “physician heal thy self” when it comes to sexual harassment in Congress...
In the light of the news about Al Franken, will the Left own its own sexual misconduct issues?
In the light of the news about Al Franken, will the Left own its own sexual misconduct issues?

Will Sen. Al Franken’s conduct call into question Democrats’ commitment to championing women who have been sexually harassed? A roundup of editorials Friday takes a look at the issue. The Week: Do the Democrats take sexual harassment seriously? We’ll see. From The New Yorker: As the two apologies from Franken show, men still need...
More Stories