Another blow for Obamacare in Georgia?

Blue Cross Blue Shield may withdraw from exchanges
October 26, 2016 - Atlanta - Gov. Nathan Deal (center) receives acknowledgment from Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed and Anthem SVP and CIO Tom Miller. Anthem, the parent company of Blue Cross Blue Shield, is considering withdrawing from Obamacare healthcare exchanges. BOB ANDRES /BANDRES@AJC.COM

Credit: Bob Andres

Credit: Bob Andres

October 26, 2016 - Atlanta - Gov. Nathan Deal (center) receives acknowledgment from Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed and Anthem SVP and CIO Tom Miller. Anthem, the parent company of Blue Cross Blue Shield, is considering withdrawing from Obamacare healthcare exchanges. BOB ANDRES /BANDRES@AJC.COM

Georgia’s health insurance exchange might be heading for another big insurer pullout that could leave a wide swath of the state without coverage under the Affordable Care Act.

A research report last week indicated that Anthem Inc., the parent company of Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Georgia, may be moving toward withdrawing from a large percentage of exchange markets nationally.

Blue Cross is the largest insurer in Georgia. It is also currently the only exchange health insurer in 96 of the state’s 159 counties. Those counties cover the rural southern reaches of the state as well as Augusta. Even a partial pullout by Anthem, would create a vacuum in those areas.

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Anthem “is leaning toward exiting a high percentage of the 144 rating regions in which it currently participates,” Jefferies analysts David Windley and David Styblo said in a research report.

Company officials said in a statement they’re evaluating the situation.

“Anthem and Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Georgia have served consumers in the individual health insurance market for over seven decades,’’ said the statement from a Blue Cross of Georgia spokeswoman, Debbie Diamond.

“We continue to actively pursue policy changes that will help with market stabilization and achieve the common goal of making quality health care more affordable and accessible for all.”

Diamond declined to answer questions beyond the statement.

Competition in the metro Atlanta exchange is fairly strong, but a Blue Cross pullout in other areas “would have a profound effect on the market,” Bill Custer, a health insurance expert at Georgia State University, said Tuesday.

The Anthem situation reflects the high level of uncertainty surrounding the Affordable Care Act, also known as the ACA or Obamacare, which created the insurance exchanges in states for individuals and families who don't get job-based or government health insurance.

The ACA was passed in 2010. A recent Republican attempt to repeal and replace it fizzled, but President Donald Trump and congressional leaders are again working on a proposal to overhaul the system.

Giant insurers UnitedHealthcare and Aetna, citing financial losses, have already pulled out of the exchange in Georgia and other states, and Humana has said it will do the same next year.

“All of the insurers are taking a position that they need more market stability,” Custer said.

The report from Jefferies came almost two months after Anthem CEO Joseph Swedish warned that the insurer might decide within months “whether or not we surgically extract ourselves from certain rating regions, or even on a larger scale, depending on the stability of the marketplace,” Bloomberg reported.

Anthem management “currently seems to be leaning toward broader extraction,” the report said.

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The Trump administration has already tightened some enrollment rules to promote stability for insurers. And Tom Price of Georgia, the new U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, has promoted a re-insurance program in Alaska that caps insurers' financial risks against high medical claims.

Such programs would promote market stability, Custer said.

Insurance companies have only a few weeks before a deadline when they must tell the federal government and states whether they plan to offer coverage on the exchanges in 2018.

FILE - In this March 15, 2014 file photo,a volunteer health care worker wears a t-shirt, getting people to sign up for the new health care programs, in Miami.  If Anthem withdraws from the Obamacare healthcare exchanges, it could create a vacuum in 96 Georgia counties. (AP Photo/J Pat Carter, File)

Credit: J Pat Carter

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Credit: J Pat Carter

The Georgia insurance department is asking insurers that want to offer exchange coverage to submit their proposed rates by May 16, while the federal deadline is June 21. “We want more time to review rates,” said Glenn Allen, a spokesman for the state insurance department.

Two key moves that insurers are looking for from the Trump administration are a promise to continue certain subsidies for those with lower incomes and enforcing the requirement for most people to either have insurance or pay a tax penalty, Kaiser Health News reported.

As a dominant insurer, Blue Cross may be less likely to withdraw from Georgia if those and other rules stay the same, Custer said.

The ACA’s requirement for insurance is very unpopular with Republicans, and the recent health bill that died in Congress would have repealed the penalty for being uninsured.

Blue Cross of Georgia’s CEO told Georgia Health News a year ago that the insurer remained committed to the individual coverage market, and had no plans to exit the Georgia exchange.

The state insurance department last year approved an average premium increase of 21.4 percent for Blue Cross for the 2017 health insurance exchange in Georgia. The company earlier had requested an average premium of 15.1 percent, but it raised the request in the wake of Aetna’s pullout from exchanges in Georgia and 10 other states.

“Repeal Obamacare” buttons fill a basket at a Heritage Foundation booth during the Conservative Political Action Conference in Maryland earlier this year. Gabriella Demczuk/The New York Times

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Chris Kane, a consultant with DHG Healthcare, said Tuesday that the adage that “all health care is local” does not apply when “decisions at the corporate headquarters of large insurers affect coverage in small towns in Georgia.”

“Yet Anthem and other public companies have an obligation to shareholders to evaluate business opportunities based on complex criteria,’’ Kane said, adding that the individual health insurance market has always been a fragile market.

Blue Cross “is high-profile in Georgia,’’ Kane said. “If Anthem exits the exchanges nationwide, there may be public relations challenges, at least in the short-term’’ for Blue Cross, he said.

-Andy Miller is the CEO and editor of Georgia Health News.